Rugby 7s Predictions

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As we are now in 2021, we have put our head on the block to bring you seven bold predictions that could happen in the upcoming 12 months.

The clue is in the title, so to speak, as while these calls are not nailed on they could well become reality by the time the year is out.

France to end the year at number one

Since the appointment of Fabien Galthie as head coach, the French have made outstanding strides, ending 2020 as the fourth best team in the world. They finished in second in the Six Nations and impressed in the Autumn Nations Cup, with a severely weakened team only narrowly succumbing to England in the final.

There is now an abundance of talent within the country and they have the right coaching staff to get the best out of those players. Although Les Bleus’ schedule for the 2021 Six Nations is tough – away games against Ireland and the Red Rose are notable fixtures – there is no reason why they can’t claim a Grand Slam and then remain unbeaten for the rest of the year.

Ian Foster to be replaced as All Blacks head coach

The former Chiefs boss only signed a two-year deal following the departure of Steve Hansen and he has hardly made the most auspicious of starts to life in the New Zealand hotseat. Despite a record victory over Australia, they lost to the Wallabies a week later and made unwanted history against Argentina as Los Pumas defeated the All Blacks for the first time.

Foster was not a popular appointment and the mood has hardly improved among supporters after their underwhelming 2020. They did manage to recover to win the Tri Nations but another subpar year will surely see someone else taking charge, with the Crusaders’ Scott Robertson the favourite.

Two times the NZRU have passed over a Crusaders coach with multiple Super Rugby titles in favour of someone from Waikato.

Scott Robertson has 5 titles as a player and a coach.

Ian Foster has none.

— Andrew Perry (@AndrewPerryNZ) November 14, 2020

Racing 92 to finally end their European hoodoo

For the third time the Parisians were left disappointed in a Champions Cup showpiece event, succumbing 31-27 to Exeter Chiefs, despite doing most of the running in the final hour. They were left to rue an awful start and a series of needless mistakes which cost them the chance of becoming the best in Europe.

Although those frustrations could have extended into the 2020/21 campaign, Racing have begun with successive bonus-point victories. Connacht did cause them problems before the French outfit edged to a 26-22 triumph, but they found their best a week later by overwhelming Harlequins 49-7.

After overcoming Clermont Auvergne away from home in the Top 14 recently, Racing once again look one of the best sides on the continent and those negative experiences in recent finals could actually serve them well this season.

Wales’ woes to continue in 2021

Wales struggled throughout 2020, and their troubles don’t look like they’re leaving them any time soon. Wayne Pivac won just two games last year after replacing Warren Gatland as head coach following the 2019 Rugby World Cup.

They won games against Italy in the opening round of the Six Nations and against Georgia in the Autumn Nations Cup, but Wales’ failure to progress after claiming a Grand Slam in 2019 and reaching a World Cup semi-final has seen pressure mount on Pivac.

The New Zealander, who built a reputation as a head coach willing to play attractive and expansive rugby, has been a shell of his former self, something which is confusing given his deep knowledge of Welsh rugby, and the fact he coached many of the players during his time in Llanelli. Pivac has struggled to implement his style of play throughout his tenure as Wales boss and, with the Six Nations just weeks away, it appears unlikely that fortunes will change significantly.

Blues to halt Crusaders’ dominance in New Zealand

While we back Robertson to take charge of the national team, we reckon his dominant Crusaders side could well be usurped domestically. The Blues have long been the great underachievers in New Zealand but they were impressive in 2020, finishing second to the Christchurch outfit in Super Rugby Aotearoa.

Leon MacDonald’s men are building excellently and look even stronger in 2021 following some superb additions, especially up front. Nepo Laulala, arguably the country’s best scrummaging tighthead, has signed to bolster a sometimes ailing front-row, while Dillon Hunt is an astute addition in the back-row.

Behind the scrum, they will be without star playmaker Beauden Barrett, but the Blues hardly lack for talented fly-halves, with Otere Black, Stephen Perofeta and Harry Plummer all on the roster. Also watch out for youngster Jacob Ratumaitavuki-Kneepkens, who looks a real talent after starring in the Mitre 10 Cup.

Super Rugby Aotearoa Crusaders v Blues – Rd 5 Highlights

Top-of-the-table clashes rarely disappoint, and Saturday’s Super Rugby Aotearoa blockbuster between the @crusadersrugby and @BluesRugbyTeam was no exception.#SuperRugby #SuperRugbyAotearoa #CRUvBLU pic.twitter.com/YSbZmpT88l

— Super Rugby/Tri Nations (@SuperRugby) July 11, 2020

Northampton Saints to finish bottom but get a reprieve

Since the Premiership restarted in August, Northampton Saints have arguably been the worst team in the competition. The Saints were facing 13 successive defeats in all competitions until they overcame Worcester Warriors at Franklin’s Gardens on Boxing Day. A second ‘win’ of the season followed against London Irish but that was down to the Exiles being forced to forfeit the encounter after a number of Covid-19 cases.

While Northampton have plenty of talent behind the scrum, there has been a distinct lack of bite up front, especially when their stars, Courtney Lawes and Teimana Harrison, have been injured. Although Worcester and Irish perhaps have the weakest squads on paper of those in the lower reaches of the league, confidence is low at the Saints and finishing bottom is a possibility.

However, they could well be reprieved due to the current financial uncertainty. There is plenty of talk of ring-fencing to safeguard rugby having seen the sport left vulnerable due to the lack of revenue generated from gate receipts. Teams are already in a perilous situation and it would make sense to abolish relegation this year, then bringing Saracens up and create a 13-team Premiership. In addition, it would be hard for the competition to relegate a team if the coronavirus means they have to forfeit a significant amount of games.

Sevens the sport to particularly suffer in age of coronavirus

In an Olympic year, Sevens should very much be coming into its own but we are struggling to see how a World Rugby Sevens Series can safely go ahead. With teams coming together from around the globe, it is a significant challenge for organisers, who are are still pondering how to arrange this year’s competition.

They should already be in the midst of the 2020/21 tournament, but unsurprisingly nothing has been confirmed due to the surging cases of coronavirus. Formula 1 did an excellent job with their season but you rather feel rugby doesn’t quite have the financial muscle to repeat what they achieved.

There will be a repêchage in Monaco to determine who will be the final qualifiers for Tokyo and no doubt other events will be pencilled in, but logistically we can’t see how any form of international Sevens – apart from the Olympics – will take place.

Super Rugby AU, Round two - Teams and Predictions

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THE BEST OF ENEMIES: Noah Lolesio and Will Harrison weren’t even born when the fuse was lit on the fractious rivalry between the Brumbies and NSW Waratahs.

Even devoted rugby fans who search through all the feisty on-field clashes, epic matches and off-field niggle won’t find the exact moment anywhere in the 25-year history of professional rugby.

That’s because it pre-dates the birth of Super Rugby but we’ll get to that in a minute. Saturday night’s latest edition at GIO Stadium in Canberra will remind us again that rivalries of deep feeling can sprout and flourish quickly even in the modern era. Brumbies v Waratahs.

The rivalry is intense, it’s real and it can drag out underdog upsets. The ledger – 20 wins to the Brumbies and 17 to the Waratahs – says it all about how tight it is.

For that very reason, there is no way that flyhalf Lolesio and the Brumbies will be underestimating the wounded Waratahs without sidelined skipper Jake Gordon.

Lolesio and Waratahs flyhalf Will Harrison, both just 21, have been competing or playing together since Australian Schoolboys and Under-20s days.

“’Harro’ is a good mate of mine. We’ve grown up playing together so it’s awesome to see him do well at the ‘Tahs,” Lolesio said.

“I’m looking forward to playing against him.

“It’s always exciting to play against the ‘Tahs and it’s our first home game for our fans.

“We definitely expect them to be hurting and a better team than they showed us in Round One.”

Waratahs wing James Ramm definitely expects his team to improve markedly and the underdog tag sits comfortably with him.

“We like it. We’re a young team, there’s a bit about us, it’s a growing year, we’ve lost a captain, we enjoy playing an exciting brand of footy…all those remarks flow in and build us,” Ramm said.

*Article continues below…

The ‘ruthless’ Reds

Melbourne are on high alert for the rampant Reds in their Super Rugby AU clash on Friday, with captain Matt Toomua saying the Queenslanders have a new edge to their game.

With the bye in round one, the Rebels were keen observers of the Reds in their crushing 41-7 win over the NSW Waratahs.

Veteran Wallaby Toomua, who will form a new halves partnership with ex-Brumbies No.9 Joe Powell at Suncorp Stadium, said the home side were a dangerous team.

And that’s without former NRL star Suliasi Vunivalu, who missed the opening match through suspension but has been named to make his rugby debut off the Reds bench.

Toomua said the ruthless nature of the victory had shown the growth in the young Queenslanders.

“They’re a team in form; they’re probably one of the more exciting teams to watch,” Toomua told AAP.

“The way they stuck it out on the weekend shows they’ve got a level of maturity that they probably didn’t have two or three years ago so they’re going to be tough.”

Reds scrumhalf Tate McDermott said he’d been working hard on his kicking game after feedback from Wallabies coach Dave Rennie and would look to do some damage against the Rebels.

He said he’d relish the chance to prove himself against Powell, who was also part of the Wallabies squad and helped steer the Brumbies to the 2020 Super Rugby AU grand final win over the Reds.

“If I can do it properly, and I have been putting quite a large amount of time into that side of things, it really benefits the team,” McDermott said.

“If the team needs me to kick I will 100 per cent put my hand and you saw that (against NSW).”

Melbourne have dropped their opening games in 2019 and 2020 but Toomua said they were raring to get their season started, particularly after being forced out of Victoria again due to a COVID-19 outbreak earlier this month.

They also haven’t beaten Queensland in their last three outings.

Toomua missed most of Australia’s Tri-Nations campaign with a serious groin injury but is back to full fitness, although fellow Test players Dane Haylett-Petty (head) and No.8 Isi Naisarani (hip) are out.

Tom Pincus is a surprise choice to start at fullback in his place, with the 2020 recruit having only played on the wing previously for Melbourne.

Prop Cabous Eloff gets his first starting debut as does Olympic sevens player Lachie Anderson, who is on the wing.

Stacey Ili will make his Super Rugby debut, partnering Reece Hodge in the centres.

*Article continues below…

Friday, February 26

Reds v Rebels
(Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane – Kick-off: 18.45; 19.45 AEDT; 08.45 GMT)

The Reds are undefeated in their last three Super Rugby games against the Rebels (W2, D1) after having won only two of their seven meetings in the competition prior (L5).

The Rebels began both their 2020 Super Rugby and Super Rugby AU campaigns with a loss after having opened six of their seven campaigns prior with a win.

The Reds have scored the opening try of the game in six of their last eight Super Rugby games against the Rebels, including their last three on the bounce; however, there has been only one try scored within the opening 10 minutes by either team in that span.

Filipo Daugunu (Reds) has crossed for five tries in his last five Super Rugby games, including a brace in the opening round of the 2021 Super Rugby AU season; he has scored one try in three of his last five Super Rugby games against the Rebels.

Jordan Uelese (Rebels) had a lineout throw success rate of 89 percent (85/96) in the 2020 Super Rugby AU campaign, the highest of any player to attempt at least 25 throws.

Head to head

Prediction

@rugby365com:Reds by nine points

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Teams

Reds: 15 Jock Campbell, 14 Jordan Petaia, 13 Hunter Paisami, 12 Hamish Stewart, 11 Filipo Daugunu, 10 James O’Connor (captain), 9 Tate McDermott, 8 Harry Wilson, 7 Fraser McReight, 6 Angus Scott-Young, 5 Seru Uru, 4 Angus Blyth, 3 Taniela Tupou, 2 Alex Mafi, 1 Dane Zander.
Replacements: 16 Josh Nasser, 17 Harry Hoopert, 18 Feao Fotuaika, 19 Ryan Smith, 20 Sam Wallis, 21 Moses Sorovi, 22 Bryce Hegarty, 23 Suliasi Vunivalu.

Super Rugby Round 7 Predictions

Rebels: 15 Tom Pincus, 14 Lachlan Anderson, 13 Stacey Ili, 12 Reece Hodge, 11 Marika Koroibete, 10 Matt To’omua (captain), 9 Joe Powell, 8 Michael Wells, 7 Richard Hardwick, 6 Brad Wilkin, 5 Trevor Hosea, 4 Steve Cummins, 3 Pone Faamausili, 2 Jordan Uelese, 1 Cabous Eloff.
Replacements: 16 Ed Craig, 17 Isaac Aedo Kailea, 18 Rhys van Nek, 19 Rob Leota, 20 Josh Kemeny, 21 James Tuttle, 22 Glen Vaihu, 23 Frank Lomani.

Referee: Jordan Way
Assistant referee: Damon Murphy, Aaron Pook
TMO: Brett Cronan

Saturday, February 27

Brumbies v Waratahs
(GIO Stadium, Canberra – Kick-off: 19:45, 08.45 GMT)

The Brumbies have won nine of their last 10 Super Rugby games against the NSW Waratahs (L1), including their last six meetings on the bounce; only against two teams have they won more than seven consecutive games in the competition (W12 vs Reds from 2000 to 2010; W10 vs Force from 2014 to 2021).

The Brumbies have won 16 of their last 17 Super Rugby games on home turf (L1), including their last six on the bounce.

The Brumbies boast a tackle success rate of 85 percent in Super Rugby AU since the beginning of 2020, the highest of any team in the competition and five percentage points higher than that of NSW Waratahs (80percent).

Tom Banks (Brumbies) has gained 610 metres in Super Rugby AU, the second-most of any player in the competition behind Reds’ Filipo Daugunu (872m).

Jake Gordon (NSW Waratahs) has scored the opening try of the game on three occasions in Super Rugby AU since the beginning of the 2020 campaign, the most of any player.

Head to head

Prediction

@rugby365com:The Brumbies by 12 points

Teams

Brumbies: 15 Tom Banks, 4 Andy Muirhead, 13 Len Ikitau, 12 Irae Simone, 11 Mack Hansen, 10 Noah Lolesio, 9 Nic White, 8 Pete Samu, 7 Jahrome Brown, 6 Rob Valetini, 5 Cadeyrn Neville, 4 Darcy Swain, 3 Allan Alaalatoa (captain), 2 Connal McInerney, 1 James Slipper.
Replacements: 16 Lachlan Lonergan, 17 Harry Lloyd, 18 Tom Ross, 19 Nick Frost, 20 Tom Cusack, 21 Ryan Lonergan, 22 Reesjan Pasitoa, 23 Issak Fines-Leleiwasa.

Waratahs: 15 Jack Maddocks, 14 Mark Nawaqanitawase, 13 Alex Newsome (captain), 12 Tepai Moeroa, 11 James Ramm, 10 Will Harrison, 9 Jack Grant, 8 Jack Dempsey, 7 Carlo Tizzano, 6 Lachlan Swinton, 5 Jack Whetton, 4 Sam Caird, 3 Harry Johnson-Holmes, 2 Tom Horton, 1 Angus Bell.
Replacements: 16 David Porecki, 17 Te Tera Faulkner, 18 Sio Tatola, 19 Jeremy Williams, 20 Hugh Sinclair, 21 Henry Robertson, 22 Tane Edmed, 23 Triston Reilly