What Is A Second Half Money Line Bet
Halftime betting has increased in popularity recently. Basically this is just a bet that is made at halftime of a game and is graded based on how the second half and overtime shake out. The game essentially starts over at 0-0 when the second half starts.
For argument’s sake, we will pretend that the Cavaliers open as 5.5-point favorites on the second half line. By betting Cleveland -5.5, you have guaranteed that at least one of your bets will win. If Atlanta wins straight up or loses by 7-points or fewer, your full game bet would win. Halftime betting: Wagers, based on betting lines posted at halftime, which involve the outcome of the second half of a game only. Handicap: To study and research sports in order to make predictions on the results of upcoming games and events. Las Vegas Sports Betting provide live 2nd half NFL Football Odds located below, those lines are only available for 15-20 minutes during half time. Need a Sportsbook to place your 2nd Half NFL Football Bet? Try one of our recommended Sportsbooks, Bovada Free $750 or BetOnline with up to $2,500 Bonus. The professional bettors tend to play first halves more because those numbers are available for most of the week while second half numbers are available for only roughly 15 minutes. In moneyline betting, the bookie assumes most people are going to wager on the favorite and sets the line on the underdog so as to cover any potential losses on the favorite. Using the Louis-Leonard fight as an example, the bookmaker knows more money is going to be wagered on Louis than Leonard because Leonard's chances of winning are much greater.
You can take advantage of these halftime bets to increase your bankroll. Let me discuss how.
Middling
NFL teasers are a very popular bet right now. A lot people love to throw something small down on a parlay each weekend. If your team is doing well through the first half then a halftime wager is a great way to go for a middle and hedge your risk.
Let’s say for example that you have the New England Patriots teased down to -2 against the New York Jets. They enter halftime ahead 21-7 and the sports book opens the 2nd half line at a pick.
You can then take the NY Jets pk for the second half and hope that the Patriots win the game by between 3 and 13 points, allowing you to win both of your wagers.
How Does Second Half Moneyline Work
In this case you are risking the juice of your bet to try and double up your winnings. If you bet $100 on each then if either side loses you lose $10, but if it lands in the middle you get $200!
Plus, it takes away most of the risk from your original wager. If the original wager loses the halftime bet has to win.
If you really want to take your middling game up to the next level during football season then you will try to maximize the NFL or college football key numbers between your original line and the adjusted halftime line.
Do you have a local dumb enough to let you bet correlated first half/full game lines then second half bets are a great way to lock in profits.
Value
Since there is only a short period of time for the oddsmakers to create a line, it’s easy to shop around if you have an account at more than one top sports book. The lines are going to vary widely and sometimes even enough to give you an arbitrage opportunity where you can guarantee yourself a profit.
This is especially helpful when there are line moves. If two books both start with -3 -110, but one book quickly adjusts to -3 -120, you know some money came in on that favorite. If you are quick you can get -3 -110 at the other shop before it too moves.
You’ll typically see the over set higher when the favorite is tied or trailing at the half. The books know that team is going to have to put points on the board if they are going to come back and win.
You’ll also see them use the original side and total as a starting point. So if a game total is 200 in the NBA and there are 90 points at the half, 110 is going to be what they reference for the second half line.
The books will also make mistakes by factoring in their total liability on a game. They might not set the halftime line at what they actually think it should be, instead worrying about getting middled and losing out on both sides. When this is the case there will be some really good numbers for bettors to take advantage of.
What half do you think is higher scoring? In the NBA, NFL, and college football it is the first half. College basketball is the only major sport it’s the second. Yet, most people think it’s the second half that is higher due to teams getting, offenses are in a better rhythm, and defenses are tired.
Feel of the Game
The oddsmakers can not keep a close eye on every single game going on at once. So, you can have a real advantage if you have been watching a game closely. Here is a short list of things you need to analyze.
- Did a team get lucky or unlucky due to turnovers?
- Were there any bad penalties that helped/hurt a team?
- Which team has the momentum?
- Did a team win the yardage battle but lose on the scoreboard?
- Were there any key injuries?
- Did the weather change?
- Did a team shoot at a higher or lower percentage than normal?
- Is a player in foul trouble?
- Who gets the ball first?
Outright Winner
A situation that I love to exploit is when you have a good sized favorite that is trailing at halftime. If you think they are capable of coming back and winning the game then you can sometimes take advantage of them at a pretty good number. For example, a team might be down 14-7 at the half as 7-point favorites and the second half line comes out with the team trailing at -7. If you think that the team that is down will come back and win grabbing the -7 is a solid value. If they win the game, you win. If they don’t win, you won’t cover.
What Is A Second Half Moneyline Bet
Finding Teams Who Start Fast & Fade
Knowing who gets off to great starts and who finishes well can be a valuable tool for the professional gambler when used correctly. I remember a couple of years ago the San Antonio Spurs were getting off to great starts by murdering teams in the first half of their games, but they have faltered in the second half.
For the entire playoffs, San Antonio averaged a 48.5 to 40.8 halftime score, but won their games by an average score of only 96.2 to 91.2. That’s an 8-point halftime lead turned into a 5-point lead by the end of the game! Obviously a team like this would be a great first half bet and a great team to look to fade at halftime.
Key Numbers for Halftime Bets
NFL
| Margin | Games | % of All Games |
|---|---|---|
| 7 Points | 850 | 13.02% |
| 3 Points | 805 | 12.15% |
| 4 Points | 605 | 9.24% |
| 10 Points | 575 | 9.01% |
| 0 Points | 547 | 8.56% |
| 14 Points | 403 | 6.62% |
| 6 Points | 380 | 5.17% |
| 1 Point | 334 | 4.67% |
| 11 Points | 288 | 4.04% |
| 13 Point | 235 | 3.78% |
| 17 Points | 228 | 3.63% |
| 2 Points | 198 | 2.68% |
| 8 Points | 188 | 2.44% |
| 9 Points | 159 | 1.94% |
| 5 Points | 155 | 1.78% |
| 21 Points | 118 | 1.69% |
| 18 Points | 92 | 1.52% |
| 12 Points | 87 | 1.19% |
| 20 Points | 68 | 1.16% |
| 16 Points | 64 | 0.90% |
| 24 Points | 50 | 0.81% |
| 15 Points | 46 | 0.66% |
| 28 Points | 34 | 0.60% |
| 19 Points | 30 | 0.38% |
| 22 Points | 22 | 0.38% |
| 23 Points | 20 | 0.35% |
| 25 Points | 16 | 0.30% |
| 27 Points | 13 | 0.29% |
| 31 Points | 9 | 0.27% |
| 35 Points | 4 | 0.18% |
| 29 Points | 4 | 0.14% |
| 26 Points | 4 | 0.09% |
| 38 Points | 2 | 0.08% |
| 34 Points | 1 | 0.06% |
CFB
| Margin | Games | % of Games |
| 7 Points | 968 | 12.50% |
| 14 Points | 726 | 9.38% |
| 3 Points | 637 | 8.23% |
| 10 Points | 566 | 7.31% |
| 4 Points | 536 | 6.92% |
| 0 Points | 531 | 6.86% |
| 21 Points | 399 | 5.15% |
| 17 Points | 357 | 4.61% |
| 6 Points | 342 | 4.42% |
| 11 Points | 315 | 4.07% |
| 1 Points | 312 | 4.03% |
| 13 Points | 270 | 3.49% |
| 8 Points | 232 | 3.00% |
| 2 Points | 196 | 2.53% |
| 18 Points | 153 | 1.98% |
| 5 Points | 145 | 1.87% |
| 28 Points | 145 | 1.87% |
| 9 Points | 138 | 1.78% |
| 24 Points | 132 | 1.71% |
| 15 Points | 112 | 1.45% |
| 20 Points | 111 | 1.43% |
| 12 Points | 88 | 1.14% |
| 16 Points | 84 | 1.09% |
| 25 Points | 54 | 0.70% |
| 27 Points | 47 | 0.61% |
| 19 Points | 40 | 0.52% |
| 22 Points | 38 | 0.49% |
| 31 Points | 38 | 0.49% |
| 23 Points | 29 | 0.37% |
| 35 Points | 28 | 0.36% |
| 34 Points | 21 | 0.27% |
| 32 Points | 11 | 0.14% |
| 26 Points | 10 | 0.13% |
| 30 Points | 10 | 0.13% |
| 29 Points | 9 | 0.12% |
| 42 Points | 7 | 0.09% |
| 38 Points | 6 | 0.08% |
| 41 Points | 5 | 0.06% |
| 45 Points | 5 | 0.06% |
| 33 Points | 4 | 0.05% |
| 36 Points | 2 | 0.03% |
| 37 Points | 2 | 0.03% |
| 39 Points | 2 | 0.03% |
| 40 Points | 2 | 0.03% |
| 48 Points | 2 | 0.03% |
| 43 Points | 1 | 0.01% |
| 50 Points | 1 | 0.01% |
| 56 Points | 1 | 0.01% |
NBA
| Margin | Games | % of All Games |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Point | 1973 | 8.01% |
| 2 Points | 1940 | 7.88% |
| 3 Points | 1829 | 7.43% |
| 5 Points | 1790 | 7.27% |
| 4 Points | 1751 | 7.11% |
| 6 Points | 1692 | 6.87% |
| 7 Points | 1503 | 6.10% |
| 8 Points | 1412 | 5.74% |
| 9 Points | 1299 | 5.28% |
| 10 Points | 1203 | 4.89% |
| 11 Points | 1071 | 4.35% |
| 12 Points | 1030 | 4.18% |
| 0 Points | 1007 | 4.09% |
| 13 Points | 884 | 3.59% |
| 14 Points | 727 | 2.95% |
| 15 Points | 611 | 2.48% |
| 16 Points | 513 | 2.08% |
| 17 Points | 462 | 1.88% |
CBB
| Margin | Games | % of All Games |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Point | 3782 | 7.92% |
| 2 Points | 3696 | 7.74% |
| 3 Points | 3615 | 7.57% |
| 4 Points | 3532 | 7.40% |
| 5 Points | 3406 | 7.14% |
| 6 Points | 3230 | 6.77% |
| 7 Points | 3010 | 6.31% |
| 8 Points | 2814 | 5.90% |
| 9 Points | 2582 | 5.41% |
| 10 Points | 2299 | 4.82% |
| 11 Points | 2055 | 4.31% |
| 0 Points | 1921 | 4.02% |
| 12 Points | 1900 | 3.98% |
| 13 Points | 1635 | 3.43% |
| 14 Points | 1405 | 2.94% |
| 15 Points | 1233 | 2.58% |
| 16 Points | 1020 | 2.14% |
| 17 Points | 925 | 1.94% |
NFL Halftime Betting Systems
Two of the angles that I look for in the NFL are easy to understand, and you can easily see why they will show you value. Nolan Dalla was the inspiration for most of these.
Bet the underdog when they are getting more points in the second half than they were for the game.
If the underdog is leading at half, sometimes the books will throw up a number for the original favorite in the second half that is more than they were favored by for the game. Does it make sense that if you thought the Patriots were 8 points better than the Jets for the game that they are now 10 points better than them in the second half? Of course not.
When a team is up by more than 2 touchdowns, take the UNDER in the 2nd half
The average total for every one of these games is 42.2. The average first half score is 27.2, but the average second half score has been 20.3. Teams slow it down when they have a big lead and try to eat up clock. They also know the opposing team has to pass so they can run more nickel and dime packages. This is even stronger if the road team is the won that is leading.
Don’t Chase
Now for the negative. One of the pitfalls of halftime wagering is chasing good money after bad. I have heard too many stories of people trying to recoup their losses by doubling down on the 2nd half of a game. Just because you think highly of a game and your team is down big in the first half, doesn’t mean that i’s a good play to take them in the 2nd half. Sure, sure I hear the, “Well I thought they would cover the -10 to begin with, so now when they are down 17 at half, why wouldn’t I take them when they can lose by 10 and I win my money back?” This is just bad thinking. Gambling is a marathon, not a sprint, and you are going to lose your wind (and your bankroll) fast making plays like that.
Exclusive Second Half Football Picks Service = More Profit Potential
by Doc's Sports - 8/12/2009
I have made a tremendous amount of money betting the second half of college football games over the years and now with today’s technology I can help you.
Does this sound familiar? It’s Saturday morning, the day you have been waiting for all week. The adrenaline is following and you are set to watch football all day long. It seems like forever until opening kickoff of the morning games finally arrives.
As an example, one of the games I am watching is Wisconsin, as a 17-point favorite over Indiana. Action starts at the kickoff, and guess what? Wisconsin fumbles the opening return and Indiana recovers. Three plays later the Hoosiers score, making it 7-0, and only one minute has elapsed in the game. The Badgers come right back and are now driving, but what? Wisconsin fumbles deep in IU territory. Indiana recovers but does not do much and has to punt. Once again, Wisconsin drives with ease only too miss a short field goal. The game goes back and forth like this the entire first half with Wisconsin trailing 17-10, yet outgaining Indiana 3-1 in total yardage.
Anyone watching knows that Wisconsin has completely dominated the first half and should be leading. Indiana will probably have a tough go of it in the second half, as they have lost their top tailback and linebacker to injuries. It certainly appears that Wisconsin should come back to win this game. However, Wisconsin is unlikely to cover the 17 points that they were favored to win by. What? Wisconsin is just a 9 ½-point favorite in the second half, meaning if they win the game by just three points, you will win this second half bet. How can this be? Are the oddsmakers unaware what really happened in the first half?
How many times have you found yourself in this situation? Or worse yet, was not aware of the various games every week that fall into this category? Knowing this info puts you with a high percentage of winners betting second halves of football games. As one of the top handicappers in the nation, I have seen this happen numerous times and have made a good deal of money on my own betting these situations in the second half of football games. My Saturday usually consists of watching several games at the same time.
When a situation like this arose in the past, I had no way of contacting my 100s of clients all in a very short period of time. As most of you know, time is a critical factor with only about 10-15 minutes available to make the bet when the line has been established and before the kickoff of the second half takes place. Because of the lack of time oddsmakers are rushed to put up these second half odds
With today’s technology this has all changed and I’m very excited to be able to give our members my second half football picks. We now offer a text messaging service to our full season members (Note: if you are reading this as the season is underway signing up for our remainder of the season package will give you access to this exclusive service as well)
I would say over the years I’ve come close to winning 70-75 percent of these plays. I look forward to helping you with these profitable picks.
Sign up for our full season package by clicking here (Existing members log in and click the buy picks button under Doc’s football.) Be sure to get in on the early bird special of $695 before it goes up to $950.
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